The hottest machine tool industry in 2011 should b

  • Detail

The transformation and upgrading of the machine tool industry in 2011 is urgent. As soon as the statistical data on the operation of the machine tool industry in 2011 were released, an exclusive interview was made with wubolin, executive vice chairman of China Machine Tool Industry Association. In the interpretation of the data, it is found that there are hidden mysteries

the overall growth masked the market decline in the later period

2011, China's machine tool industry grew significantly throughout the year, achieving a total industrial output value of 660.65 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32.1%; The sales revenue reached 642.49 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.1%; Exports reached US $8.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of 30%; The profit reached 39billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 30.6%

wubolin said that the output value of China's machine tool industry is expected to remain the first in the world. Although the international authoritative ranking data have not been released yet, Japan and Germany have announced the growth rate of their own machine tool industry in 2011, both below 10%. At the same time, China still remains the largest consumer of machine tools in the world

in the first half of 2011, the economic operation of the machine tool industry continued the development trend during the Eleventh Five Year Plan period. However, it is worth noting that with the promotion of a series of national policies such as structural adjustment and mode transformation, the investment scale has been reduced and the machine tool market has also declined. Since May 2011, the new orders of the whole industry have shown a downward trend month on month. In August, the new orders of some key enterprises decreased by 51.1% compared with the same period of 2010, and by 34.8% compared with July

among them, the market decline of low-end products and heavy products is particularly prominent. From the perspective of enterprise operation, after entering the second half of the year, the number of mass transit orders decreased, the payment speed was slow, and some users even asked for return. Wubolin told China industry news that in the past, heavy-duty machine tool enterprises' hand-held orders often exceeded their one-year production capacity, and small and medium-sized product enterprises' hand-held orders often exceeded their production capacity for half a year. Now the situation is completely different. Better enterprises have only half a year's orders in hand

excellent structure should be especially cautious in installation. It still does not meet the market demand.

in 2011, China's metal cutting machine tool industry completed a total industrial output value of 154.29 billion yuan, an increase of 23.1% compared with the design of separation of main body and dynamometer; The output of metal cutting machine tools was 859900, an increase of 15.1% year-on-year. Among them, there were 257000 CNC machine tools, a year-on-year increase of 20%

the total industrial output value of molding machine tools was 58.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 36%; The output of molding machine tools was 238000 units, a year-on-year increase of 0.9%. Among them, the output of CNC machine tools is 15000 sets

it is found from the two industries of metal cutting machine tools and forming machine tools that last year, China's metal processing machine tool industry achieved a total industrial output value of 212.9 billion yuan, an increase of 26% compared with 168.6 billion yuan in the previous year. In the same period, the output of the industry was 1.1 million units, an increase of 13% year-on-year

Wu Bolin said that from the above data, it can be seen that the growth rate of China's total output value of metal processing machine tool industry is twice that of output, which shows that the value of a single product in the industry has significantly increased. The value of a single product has always been regarded as a barometer of product structure adjustment in the machine tool industry

in the past decade, except that the value of a single product in China's machine tool industry decreased in 2009 compared with the previous year, the value of other years increased year by year. This shows that the product structure of machine tools has been optimized and the market demand level has been improved. At present, although the market recovery is not obvious, the demand for high-end products and special aircraft is increasing

nevertheless, the progress of domestic machine tool enterprises still can not catch up with the market demand

in 2011, the import volume of China's machine tool products reached US $20.29 billion, exceeding US $20billion for the first time, with a year-on-year increase of 29.3%. Among them, the import of metal processing machine tools was 13.24 billion US dollars, with a year-on-year increase of more than 40%, far higher than the 26% increase of domestic enterprises

this phenomenon fully exposes that the demand level of the domestic market is increasing rapidly, which is far higher than the development speed of machine tool enterprises. Although the product structure adjustment of China's machine tool enterprises has achieved results, it still can not catch up with the improvement of market demand. At the same time, this is also the main contradiction for the operators of China's machine tool industry to re transfer the experimental results and other information not uploaded into the system software fruit market during the 12th Five Year Plan period. In terms of the types of imported products, most of them are medium and high-end products, which shows that domestic medium and high-end products are still lack of sufficient competitiveness, although there is basically no product blank now

fierce foreign investment forced enterprises to transform and upgrade

looking back on the macroeconomic environment in 2011, externally, the European debt crisis continued to deepen, developed countries returned to the real economy, and trade protection quietly rose; Internally, the increasingly grim export situation and the suspension or postponement of key national investment projects such as energy and high-speed rail have added more variables to China's economic development prospects in 2012

wubolin told China industry news that this year, the machine tool industry will end the rapid growth of the past few years, but it will not be unable to recover. It is predicted that China's machine tool industry will grow by about 15% in 2012. Now, some enterprises are beginning to rebound, but the signs are not very obvious

in 2011, the import volume of China's metal processing machine tools increased by 40% year-on-year, while the domestic machine tools increased by 26% year-on-year. Although the base numbers are different, it can be inferred that the share of domestic machine tools in the domestic market has decreased slightly

2. Stability

what can disprove this argument is that many foreign businessmen are preparing to increase investment in China. Tiantian, demaji, Makino and Mazak have all made moves. Foreign investors' key investment in China will intensify the competition in the domestic machine tool market, and the future situation will be quite severe

wubolin believes that although China's CNC machine tool industry has begun to take shape, has made remarkable achievements in independent innovation, and the international status of the industry has been significantly improved, we should also see the problems restricting the development of the industry. To sum up, there are mainly the following two aspects: first, technological progress is relatively lagging behind; Second, the development mode focuses on scale expansion. The basic feature of the machine tool industry at this stage is that it is large but not strong. Its main contradiction is that the accelerated upgrading of the domestic market demand structure does not adapt to the supply capacity of the industry. At present, the whole society has unprecedentedly improved its awareness of scientific and technological innovation and energy conservation and environmental protection. Under the dual factors of the decline in growth rate and the adjustment of structure and mode of the whole society, the market demand structure is accelerating the upgrading, which will inevitably bring about the demand for the upgrading of manufacturing equipment. This can be well confirmed by the import statistics in 2011

at present, the dependence of China's economic growth on exports and investment has not fundamentally changed, but the growth momentum of these two aspects has declined significantly. It can be predicted that the macroeconomic growth will slow down in the coming period, and the demand growth for machine tool products will also slow down. In this case, the task of promoting the industry from big to strong has become urgent

Copyright © 2011 JIN SHI